Taking a harm reduction approach to the mortgage crisis
"Harm reduction" is the public health philosophy that brought you syringe exchange, condoms in schools, sex education, and legalized prostitution. Founded in the 1970s, harm reduction readily admits that people will engage in risky behaviors like taking intravenous (IV) drugs and having sex. Rather than taking the paternalistic attitude of punishment -- "See, I told you so" -- that characterizes more conservative public health philosophies (such as abstinence-only sex education), harm reduction understands that adults who want to do things to their bodies, with no other people involved (or in the case of sex, two consenting adults), should be allowed to do so, and they should be provided with ways to engage in those behaviors that reduce the risk. At Berkeley NEED, we give out syringes to IV drug users in the hope that they will not re-use or share old syringes, which can cause infections, destroy their veins, and spread disease, all of three of which can result in death. From the economic point of view, it costs far less money to distribute syringes to drug users (NEED's annual budget is about $160,000, the vast majority of which gets spent on syringes) than to care for them once they get infections or other diseases, to say nothing of the cost of managing an outbreak of HIV, Hepatitis C, or staphylococcus in a given population.
But this piece is not about harm reduction as it applies to health care; much has already been written about that. No, my aim is to discuss a harm reduction approach to the current mortgage crisis, which has a lot to do with, say, IV drug use.
The current mortgage crisis exists because of risky behaviors. Mortgage lenders sold loans to people who couldn't pay them back, but figured there was nothing wrong because, hey, the housing market is doing great and those people will sell their homes before their interest rates increase. Their debts were then carved up and sold to other investment firms throughout the world. This entire model rested on the assumption that housing prices would increase for the foreseeable future. This assumption turned sour a few years ago, when housing prices plateaued and then began to fall. The "housing bubble" had burst, and as a result, home owners couldn't sell. Since they couldn't sell before their interest rates increased, the "variable" part of their variable-rate mortgages kicked in. Home owners defaulted, sending a jolt to everyone who had bought a piece of their mortgages – which, it turns out, was everyone in the world.
Last week, the Federal Reserve Bank – in conjunction with JP Morgan – bailed out investment firm Bear Stearns. The Washington Post observed that bailing out a bank could create a "moral hazard" that would "simply encourage more of the same bad behavior." This "bad behavior" is ostensibly the risky investment practices -- selling loans to people that couldn't pay them back -- that got Bear Stearns into this problem in the first place. This is a very paternalistic attitude to take toward a worldwide investment bank, and investors in general. Strangely, adults seem to act toward other adults like they would with children, believing that the act of punishment – of making the adult learn from his or her mistake – is more important than the consequences of engaging in "enabling."
What should be important is making sure Bear Stearns doesn't default on its loans. Imagine for a second that a drunk driver gets into an accident and the paramedics are called. What if the paramedics, instead of immediately attempting to save the driver, gave him a stern lecture about drunk driving first? Imagine further that, instead of even helping the drunk driver, the paramedics left him to die, since he needed to "learn his lesson" about drunk driving. In medicine, we engage in enabling all the time because human life is valuable, period. The first order of business upon finding someone in need of medical help is to give them medical help! Once their condition is stabilized, then they will be of course subject to the full brunt of the law.
And what about Bear Stearns? The fall of a major investment bank could be the economic equivalent of internal bleeding. The Wall Street Journal had it right when it suggested that Bear Stearns should be bailed out because of the damage that $30 billion in un-repayable mortgage debt could do. And yes, Bear Stearns will be admonished -- in fact, it's already been punished by being sold to JP Morgan. Already, executives at places like Citigroup have been replaced for their roles in creating this mess. There will undoubtedly be investigations in the future, and the SEC will create new regulations to prevent the kind of junk debt trading that has been happening for the last ten years.
The presumption that this kind of behavior will happen again is similarly paternalistic. Different kinds of risky trading will happen again, regardless of what the Fed does or does not do. If the risky trading impacts one or a few companies, then those companies will bear the consequences. But if the trading impacts the world economy, then the Fed will once again have to step in and perform surgery. And it's not like Bear Stearns is laughing all the way to the bank that their devious scheme worked: they were bought out by JP Morgan for $2 a share. Bear Stearns had its limbs amputated, and it will never walk again, but it's still alive, at least. The Federal Reserve Bank gave JP Morgan the money to facilitate the buyout -- your taxpayer money. And well it should. $30 billion is enough to pay to make sure the economy doesn't tank. But, of course, the investment companies that created this situation should be punished, admonished, investigated, and fined for their practices. But let's worry about that later. Right now, the value of the dollar is plummeting and consumer confidence is dwindling.
I hate to use cliches, but it's putting the cart before the horse to care about the behavioral implications of bailing out major investment banks. What we should care about first is making sure these banks don't take out the rest of the economy with them. After that, there will be plenty of time to worry about who should be blamed, who should have fingers waved at them sternly, and what should be done to keep this from happening. First, let's stop the bleeding so that there's still a patient when this is all done.






